CRE Fundraising at Lowest Level Since 2016
North American CRE fundraising fell to $80B in 2024, continuing a 3-year decline, although core funding remained strong.
Good morning. North American commercial real estate fundraising fell to $80B in 2024 (the lowest level since 2016), continuing a 3-year decline, although core funding remained strong, signaling a potential market recovery.
Today’s issue is brought to you by AirGarage, a full-service parking management provider that streamlines operations and maximizes revenue for property owners.
Market Snapshot
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*Data as of 01/28/2024 market close.
capital markets
CRE Fundraising Down for 3rd Year as Core Funding Makes Records
Despite a prolonged decline in fundraising, core real estate investments hit an all-time high in 2024.
Fundraising dries up: Total CRE fundraising in North America dropped to $80B in 2024, marking the third consecutive year of declines and the lowest level since 2016. This is a stark contrast to the $155B raised at the peak in 2021, as institutional investors continue to hold back, waiting for clearer market signals, according to Colliers' Aaron Jodka.
Bucking the trend: While overall capital raised has shrunk, core real estate strategies saw record-breaking momentum, with $9.5B raised in 2024. The number of funds seeking capital also increased, hinting at potential recovery and renewed investor interest in high-quality assets like trophy office buildings and net-lease properties.
Uninvested capital shrinks: Available capital for investment is drying up, with uninvested capital reserves falling 40% from their 2022 peak. In 2024 alone, these reserves declined by 35%, with debt down 51%, core plus plummeting 59%, and distressed funds retracting by 70%. A mix of acquisition opportunities, redemption queues, and refinancing pressures has accelerated capital deployment.
➥ THE TAKEAWAY
Looking ahead: Despite the pullback, investor capital remains strong, and the denominator effect—where stock market gains reduce real estate allocations—could set the stage for a resurgence in deal activity. Debt maturities and distressed asset sales may further push market clearing, setting up 2025 for a more active investment environment.
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✍️ Editor’s Picks
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The Best CRE Data: Not all real estate data providers are created equal. We compared the top providers and their key features, so you don't have to.
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Private lenders lead: Nonbank lenders are dominating short-term property financing, with $4.43B in loans already raised YTD, surpassing total CRE lending activity for 1Q24.
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Sorry shareholders: The $1B sale of rent-to-own startup Divvy Homes to Brookfield Properties (BN) could result in no payout, leaving common shareholders and Founders Preferred Stockholders in the lurch.
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Blocked: A judge ruled against an executive order mandating project labor agreements for federal constructions over $35M, siding with contractors who argued it was anti-competitive and politically motivated.
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New face: KKR Group (KKR) hires Guy Metcalfe, former Morgan Stanley real estate chief, to bolster its real estate investment strategy after a recent restructuring of its real assets division.
🏘️ MULTIFAMILY
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Black swan event: The recent wildfires in LA have damaged 9.5K rental units, many in small, aging multifamily buildings, worsening the city’s ongoing housing crisis.
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New rankings: Columbus, Denver, Jacksonville, Nashville, and New York face ongoing challenges like supply surges, uneven demand recovery, and potential rent pressure—but could surprise investors.
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Hot potato: Flagstar Financial (FLG) offloads a troubled $142M portfolio of rent-stabilized loans to Howard Lutnick’s Cantor Fitzgerald, another step in unwinding from its near collapse.
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Still a big apple: Despite the pressures of high supply, New York City's multifamily sector continues to thrive, with 14% more dollar volume and a steady rise in transactions.
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Despite the fires: San Diego's multifamily sector rebounded strongly in Q3, with sales shooting up 52%, fueled by high-value transactions and rising property prices.
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Billionaire’s row: Eliot Spitzer is looking to offload a prime Upper East Side property that could fetch up to $1B, leveraging the potential for condo conversion.
🏭 Industrial
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Garden State win: Camber Real Estate Partners and Invesco Real Estate (IARAX) teamed up to purchase a 5-building, 384 KSF industrial portfolio in Burlington County, NJ.
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Electric dreams: ZM Trucks, a zero-emissions commercial vehicle manufacturer, signed a lease for a 210 KSF facility in Fontana, CA, a big step in its North American expansion and bolstering the industrial rebound.
🏬 RETAIL
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Where in Texas? Texas Heritage Marketplace is set to become a major retail and mixed-use hub in Katy, TX, as NewQuest Properties moves forward with its $400M development.
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Growth plans: H-E-B secured a development agreement in Rhome, TX, to purchase land in anticipation of future growth, part of its ongoing North Texas expansion within a rapidly growing area.
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Grocery overhaul: Jason Buechel, CEO of Whole Foods (AMZN), is now overseeing the entire grocery division, including Fresh and Go, as Amazon looks to refine its brick-and-mortar grocery strategy.
🏢 OFFICE
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New record: Amazon (AMZN) signed a landmark 50 KSF lease at Wynwood Plaza, marking the largest office lease ever in Miami’s art district as part of its expanding Miami presence.
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Vacancy spike: Office vacancies reached a national rate of 19.8% in 2024, with Austin seeing the largest increase, up 690 bps to 27.9%, signaling ongoing struggles in the post-pandemic office market.
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Downsizing trend: DC nonprofits are reducing their office footprints, with leasing volumes in 2024 dropping 18% below the historical average as hybrid work makes space cuts more necessary.
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Bargain hunt: Following a surge in sales activity in 2024, investors—especially foreign players—are capitalizing on discounted office assets, betting on a market recovery.
🏨 HOSPITALITY
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If you build it: IHG Hotels & Resorts (IHG) teamed up with Avana Cos. to launch a $250M co-lending program to build more IHG's Holiday Inn, Avid Hotels, Atwell Suites, and Even Hotels properties.
📈 CHART OF THE DAY
According to CredIQ, total CRE loan modifications have soared to $19.1B by the end of 2024, surpassing the $18.3B peak seen in 2020, after falling to a 4-year low in 2022 at around $5.10B.
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