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CRE Fundraising at Lowest Level Since 2016

North American CRE fundraising fell to $80B in 2024, continuing a 3-year decline, although core funding remained strong.

CRE Fundraising at Lowest Level Since 2016

North American CRE fundraising fell to $80B in 2024, continuing a 3-year decline, although core funding remained strong.

Together with

Good morning. North American commercial real estate fundraising fell to $80B in 2024 (the lowest level since 2016), continuing a 3-year decline, although core funding remained strong, signaling a potential market recovery.

Today’s issue is brought to you by AirGarage, a full-service parking management provider that streamlines operations and maximizes revenue for property owners.

Market Snapshot

S&P 500
GSPC
6,067.70
Pct Chg:
0.92%
FTSE NAREIT
FNER
785.09
Pct Chg:
+0.84%
10Y Treasury
TNX
4.528%
Pct Chg:
-0.021
SOFR
30-DAY AVERAGE
4.608
Pct Chg:
0.0%

*Data as of 01/28/2024 market close.

capital markets

CRE Fundraising Down for 3rd Year as Core Funding Makes Records

Despite a prolonged decline in fundraising, core real estate investments hit an all-time high in 2024.

Fundraising dries up: Total CRE fundraising in North America dropped to $80B in 2024, marking the third consecutive year of declines and the lowest level since 2016. This is a stark contrast to the $155B raised at the peak in 2021, as institutional investors continue to hold back, waiting for clearer market signals, according to Colliers' Aaron Jodka.

Bucking the trend: While overall capital raised has shrunk, core real estate strategies saw record-breaking momentum, with $9.5B raised in 2024. The number of funds seeking capital also increased, hinting at potential recovery and renewed investor interest in high-quality assets like trophy office buildings and net-lease properties.

CRE Fundraising Down for 3rd Year as Core Funding Makes Records

Uninvested capital shrinks: Available capital for investment is drying up, with uninvested capital reserves falling 40% from their 2022 peak. In 2024 alone, these reserves declined by 35%, with debt down 51%, core plus plummeting 59%, and distressed funds retracting by 70%. A mix of acquisition opportunities, redemption queues, and refinancing pressures has accelerated capital deployment.

➥ THE TAKEAWAY

Looking ahead: Despite the pullback, investor capital remains strong, and the denominator effect—where stock market gains reduce real estate allocations—could set the stage for a resurgence in deal activity. Debt maturities and distressed asset sales may further push market clearing, setting up 2025 for a more active investment environment.

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✍️ Editor’s Picks

  • The Best CRE Data: Not all real estate data providers are created equal. We compared the top providers and their key features, so you don't have to.

  • Private lenders lead: Nonbank lenders are dominating short-term property financing, with $4.43B in loans already raised YTD, surpassing total CRE lending activity for 1Q24.

  • Sorry shareholders: The $1B sale of rent-to-own startup Divvy Homes to Brookfield Properties (BN) could result in no payout, leaving common shareholders and Founders Preferred Stockholders in the lurch.

  • Blocked: A judge ruled against an executive order mandating project labor agreements for federal constructions over $35M, siding with contractors who argued it was anti-competitive and politically motivated.

  • New face: KKR Group (KKR) hires Guy Metcalfe, former Morgan Stanley real estate chief, to bolster its real estate investment strategy after a recent restructuring of its real assets division.

🏘️ MULTIFAMILY

  • Black swan event: The recent wildfires in LA have damaged 9.5K rental units, many in small, aging multifamily buildings, worsening the city’s ongoing housing crisis.

  • New rankings: Columbus, Denver, Jacksonville, Nashville, and New York face ongoing challenges like supply surges, uneven demand recovery, and potential rent pressure—but could surprise investors.

  • Hot potato: Flagstar Financial (FLG) offloads a troubled $142M portfolio of rent-stabilized loans to Howard Lutnick’s Cantor Fitzgerald, another step in unwinding from its near collapse.

  • Still a big apple: Despite the pressures of high supply, New York City's multifamily sector continues to thrive, with 14% more dollar volume and a steady rise in transactions.

  • Despite the fires: San Diego's multifamily sector rebounded strongly in Q3, with sales shooting up 52%, fueled by high-value transactions and rising property prices.

  • Billionaire’s row: Eliot Spitzer is looking to offload a prime Upper East Side property that could fetch up to $1B, leveraging the potential for condo conversion.

🏭 Industrial

  • Garden State win: Camber Real Estate Partners and Invesco Real Estate (IARAX) teamed up to purchase a 5-building, 384 KSF industrial portfolio in Burlington County, NJ.

  • Electric dreams: ZM Trucks, a zero-emissions commercial vehicle manufacturer, signed a lease for a 210 KSF facility in Fontana, CA, a big step in its North American expansion and bolstering the industrial rebound.

🏬 RETAIL

  • Where in Texas? Texas Heritage Marketplace is set to become a major retail and mixed-use hub in Katy, TX, as NewQuest Properties moves forward with its $400M development.

  • Growth plans: H-E-B secured a development agreement in Rhome, TX, to purchase land in anticipation of future growth, part of its ongoing North Texas expansion within a rapidly growing area.

  • Grocery overhaul: Jason Buechel, CEO of Whole Foods (AMZN), is now overseeing the entire grocery division, including Fresh and Go, as Amazon looks to refine its brick-and-mortar grocery strategy.

🏢 OFFICE

  • New record: Amazon (AMZN) signed a landmark 50 KSF lease at Wynwood Plaza, marking the largest office lease ever in Miami’s art district as part of its expanding Miami presence.

  • Vacancy spike: Office vacancies reached a national rate of 19.8% in 2024, with Austin seeing the largest increase, up 690 bps to 27.9%, signaling ongoing struggles in the post-pandemic office market.

  • Downsizing trend: DC nonprofits are reducing their office footprints, with leasing volumes in 2024 dropping 18% below the historical average as hybrid work makes space cuts more necessary.

  • Bargain hunt: Following a surge in sales activity in 2024, investors—especially foreign players—are capitalizing on discounted office assets, betting on a market recovery.

🏨 HOSPITALITY

  • If you build it: IHG Hotels & Resorts (IHG) teamed up with Avana Cos. to launch a $250M co-lending program to build more IHG's Holiday Inn, Avid Hotels, Atwell Suites, and Even Hotels properties.

📈 CHART OF THE DAY

According to CredIQ, total CRE loan modifications have soared to $19.1B by the end of 2024, surpassing the $18.3B peak seen in 2020, after falling to a 4-year low in 2022 at around $5.10B.

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