Rent Decline Deepens as Vacancy Rates Hit Record High

Rent decline continues nationwide as vacancy rates hit a record 7.2% amid rising supply and slowing demand in the multifamily market.
Rent decline continues nationwide as vacancy rates hit a record 7.2% amid rising supply and slowing demand in the multifamily market.
  • National median rent fell 1.0% in November, marking the fourth straight monthly decline. Rents are now down 1.1% year-over-year.
  • Vacancy rate reached a record-high 7.2%, driven by a surge in new supply and weaker rental demand.
  • Leasing times are rising, averaging 36 days—up from 34 a year ago and double the 2021 average.
  • Sun Belt markets lead rent declines, with Austin down 6.8% annually. Providence, RI, saw the fastest growth at +5.2%.
Key Takeaways

Another Month, Another Dip

Apartment List reports that the national median rent dropped 1.0% in November to $1,367. This marks the fourth monthly decline in a row. Rents now sit 1.1% lower than a year ago and 5.2% below the August 2022 peak.

While seasonal slowdowns are expected, the timing has shifted. Rent prices began falling in August for the third year in a row, earlier than in most pre-pandemic years.

Earlier in 2025, annual rent growth looked like it might turn positive. However, weak summer demand reversed that trend.

Month-over-month rent growth in the US shows steep seasonal declines, with November 2025 posting a -1.0% drop.

Supply Surge Meets Soft Demand

A historic wave of new apartments continues to reshape the market. Developers delivered over 600,000 new multifamily units in 2024—the highest in nearly four decades. In 2025, deliveries slowed but stayed elevated. More than 240,000 units came online in the first half of the year, 31% above the 10-year average for that period.

This supply increase pushed the national multifamily vacancy rate to 7.2% in November. That’s the highest level since Apartment List began tracking this metric in 2017. Property owners face more competition and have less leverage on pricing due to the growing inventory.

At the same time, a cooling labor market has dampened renter demand. This combination has prolonged the soft conditions in many markets.

Leasing Takes Longer as Vacancies Rise

Units are also sitting on the market for longer. In November, it took an average of 36 days for a listed apartment to lease—up from 34 days last year and 18 days in 2021.

This trend reflects the slowdown in demand and the seasonal off-peak. It’s the fifth straight month that leasing times have increased.

Median time to lease a rental unit in the US rose to 36 days in November 2025, nearing its historical peak.

Sun Belt Markets See the Steepest Declines

Rent trends vary sharply by region. Of the 54 largest US metros, 52 saw rents fall month-over-month in November. Rents dropped year-over-year in 29 of them.

The steepest declines appeared in the South and Mountain West. Austin, TX, saw the biggest drop, with median rent falling 6.8% over the past year. Rents there are now more than 20% below their 2022 peak. Austin also leads the nation in new housing permits, underscoring the link between supply and falling rents.

Other Sun Belt metros with high permitting activity—like Phoenix, Denver, Dallas, San Antonio, and Orlando—also experienced sharp rent declines.

In contrast, Providence, RI, posted the fastest annual rent growth at +5.2%. The city has benefited from an influx of renters looking for affordable options outside of Boston and New York. Since 2020, rents in Providence have jumped more than 40%—the largest increase among major metros.

Rent trends vary by region in 2025, with the sharpest declines in Sun Belt metros like Austin and the fastest growth in Northeast cities like Providence.

What’s Next

The market continues to show signs of softness. Rent prices are falling, vacancies are high, and new units keep entering the market. Although construction has started to slow, elevated supply levels remain.

Once this wave of new supply is absorbed, the market may tighten. Developers will likely pull back, and pricing power could return. However, weaker labor market conditions and softening construction sentiment suggest that recovery will take time.

Bottom Line

Renters still have the upper hand as more supply hits the market and leasing slows. While rents remain above pre-pandemic levels, the recent cooling is likely to continue into early 2026.

RECENT NEWSLETTERS

View All
CRE Daily - No Cap

podcast

No CAP by CRE Daily

No Cap by CRE Daily is a weekly podcast offering an unfiltered look into commercial real estate’s biggest trends and influential figures.

CRE Daily Newsletters

Join 65k+
  • operators
  • developers
  • brokers
  • owners
  • landlords
  • investors
  • lenders

who start their day with CRE Daily.

The latest news and trends in commercial real estate delivered to your inbox. Get smarter about what matters in just 5-minutes or less.