Rent Control Laws Cool Investment in D.C. Suburbs
Multifamily investment in Maryland’s D.C. suburbs has dropped 13% this year as strict rent caps push major investors to the sidelines.
Good morning. Welcome back to CRE Daily! We hope you had a great holiday break. Let’s dive into the news: Multifamily investment in Maryland’s D.C. suburbs has dropped 13% this year as strict rent caps push major investors to the sidelines.
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Market Snapshot
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*Data as of 12/23/2024 market close.
Housing policy
Rent Control Laws Cool Investment in D.C. Suburbs
Strict rent control laws in Maryland’s Montgomery and Prince George’s counties have cooled multifamily investment, with transaction volumes plunging 13% in 2024.
What’s changed: New laws enacted in July cap rent increases at 6% or 3% plus inflation, whichever is lower, even on vacant units, reports the WSJ. These measures are among the nation’s strictest, deterring institutional investors like Blackstone and Equity Residential.
The fallout: Multifamily transactions have dropped by 80% in some areas, with Montgomery County seeing just eight deals this year compared to dozens annually, per CBRE. Landlords warn the caps limit funding for renovations and redevelopment, further stalling activity.
Who’s winning: Northern Virginia has seen investment soar 155%, cementing its status as a top-three U.S. market for institutional investors. Meanwhile, Montgomery County’s development applications for new construction remain steady, thanks to exemptions for new projects.
➥ THE TAKEAWAY
Why it matters: The laws aim to curb pandemic-era rent spikes of up to 20% in 2022, but critics warn they’ll stifle new supply and worsen affordability long term. Officials are monitoring the impact, with some open to adjustments if the restrictions prove too disruptive.
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✍️ Editor’s Picks
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CRE’s 2025 outlook roundup: Gain perspectives from 22 leading research and brokerage companies on CRE in 2025.
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Rental slowdown: In October, single-family rental growth slowed to its lowest pace since mid-2020, with annual increases at 1.7% as detached homes and high-end rentals saw stronger demand.
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Affordable transformation: LA approved entitlements for the redevelopment of Rancho San Pedro, paving the way for 1.5K new homes—66% affordable—along with commercial space and parks.
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Zoning for growth: San Antonio's updated transit-oriented zoning encourages high-density mixed-use developments along the Green Line bus rapid transit corridor.
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Transforming DC: Momentum is building to redevelop underutilized federal buildings near the National Mall, with proposals to offload aging properties and create a vibrant mixed-use district.
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Partners no more: Houston's Midway and Orlando-based Parkway Property Investments ended their brief collaboration, with Parkway taking full control of their JV, Parkway Ventures.
🏘️ MULTIFAMILY
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Modest gains: Multifamily rents are expected to grow by 1.5% in 2025, with the Northeast and Midwest driving gains while Sun Belt markets face headwinds from oversupply and high inventory.
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Big CA bets: San Diego continues to attract major multifamily investments, capturing 10% of US trades over $150M since 2023, as investors bank on long-term growth despite flat rents.
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Miramar deal: FCP acquired the 250-unit Alexan Miramar in Broward County, FL, for $67.5M (at around $270K per unit), with JP Morgan (JPM) financing $53M for the newly built complex.
🏭 Industrial
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Chelsea bargain: Prime Group Holdings and Empire Capital secured the Ironworks office complex in Chelsea for $50M, at a nearly $100M discount from its previous valuation.
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Industrial sale: TA Realty acquired the 509.5 KSF Ironwood Commerce Center in Opa-Locka, FL, from Blackstone (BX) for $160M.
🏬 RETAIL
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Party over: After nearly 40 years, Party City will shutter over 700 stores by February 2025, citing $800M in debt, sluggish sales, and rising costs, part of a wider trend of retail downsizing in 2024.
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SoFlo’s top leases: Strong demand and low vacancies shaped South Florida's retail market in 2024, with Floor & Décor (FND) leading the region's biggest leases at 66 KSF, followed by Macy’s (M), Nordstrom Rack (JWN), and Eataly.
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Curbside REIT debut: David Lukes' Curbline Properties REIT (CURB) revolutionized retail by institutionalizing unanchored convenience centers, leveraging geolocation data and low capital expenditures.
🏢 OFFICE
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Medical intervention: With high office vacancies persisting, more landlords are embracing medical tenants, who offer stability and demand suburban and retrofitted spaces.
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Silicon Valley discount: A former tech college campus in Santa Clara sold for $16M, a 20% loss from its 2018 purchase price, despite its proximity to Nvidia's (NVDA) headquarters.
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Funding secured: Landau and Taubco clinched a $74M loan for the One Kane Concourse in South Florida, which will offer waterfront access and luxury amenities by 2026.
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Leaving the Capitol: JBG Smith sold 2101 L Street NW for $110M, marking one of its last office divestments in Washington, DC.
🏨 HOSPITALITY
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Hot, hellish potato: Capstone and Leyad acquired the Ink48 Hotel in NYC’s Hell’s Kitchen for $58M at a $25M discount from its 2019 sale price.
📈 CHART OF THE DAY
2024 REIT Trading Trends
U.S. equity REITs traded at an 8.24% median NAV discount as of Dec. 6, while healthcare REITs led with a 9.35% premium, topped by Welltower™ Inc. at 89.33%.
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